2024 Week 10 · Final
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens, final 34–35
Pregame first read
BAL run defense has the stronger league profile.
CIN run game #28/32 · BAL run defense #4/32 · 112 offense / 123 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- BAL -3.5
- Model total
- 56
- 80% range (BAL margin)
- -12.8 to +21.8
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJoe BurrowCIN428 pass yds
- RushingDerrick HenryBAL68 rush yds
- ReceivingJa'Marr ChaseCIN264 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- BAL passing attack#1/32CIN pass defense#16/32
- BAL run game#16/32CIN run defense#24/32
- CIN passing attack#7/32BAL pass defense#30/32
- CIN run game#28/32BAL run defense#4/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
CINCincinnati Bengals
- Joe BurrowQB · 9 games249pass yds/g
- Chase BrownRB · 9 games53.2rush yds/g
- Ja'Marr ChaseWR · 9 games79.7rec yds/g
- Tee HigginsWR · 5 games68.2rec yds/g
BALBaltimore Ravens
- Lamar JacksonQB · 9 games264pass yds/g
- Derrick HenryRB · 9 games117rush yds/g
- Zay FlowersWR · 9 games72.7rec yds/g
- Rashod BatemanWR · 9 games49.7rec yds/g