AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 10 · Final

Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens, final 34–35

Pregame first read

BAL run defense has the stronger league profile.

CIN run game #28/32 · BAL run defense #4/32 · 112 offense / 123 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BAL -3.5
Model total
56
80% range (BAL margin)
-12.8 to +21.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • BAL passing attack#1/32CIN pass defense#16/32
  • BAL run game#16/32CIN run defense#24/32
  • CIN passing attack#7/32BAL pass defense#30/32
  • CIN run game#28/32BAL run defense#4/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CINCincinnati Bengals

BALBaltimore Ravens