AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 10 · Final

Detroit Lions at Houston Texans, final 26–23

DETDETDetroit Lions26HOUHOUHouston Texans23

Pregame first read

DET pass defense has the stronger league profile.

HOU passing attack #24/32 · DET pass defense #1/32 · 176 offense / 219 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DET -7
Model total
47
80% range (HOU margin)
-22.9 to +11.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • HOU passing attack#24/32DET pass defense#1/32
  • HOU run game#21/32DET run defense#26/32
  • DET passing attack#2/32HOU pass defense#6/32
  • DET run game#9/32HOU run defense#9/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DETDetroit Lions

HOUHouston Texans