AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 10 · Final

Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Rams, final 23–15

MIAMIAMiami Dolphins23LALALos Angeles Rams15

Pregame first read

LA run defense has the stronger league profile.

MIA run game #29/32 · LA run defense #7/32 · 166 offense / 136 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
LA -2.5
Model total
42
80% range (LA margin)
-14.9 to +20.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • LA passing attack#18/32MIA pass defense#18/32
  • LA run game#26/32MIA run defense#15/32
  • MIA passing attack#16/32LA pass defense#5/32
  • MIA run game#29/32LA run defense#7/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

MIAMiami Dolphins

LALos Angeles Rams