AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 10 · Final

New York Giants at Carolina Panthers, final 17–20

NYGNYGNew York Giants17CARCARCarolina Panthers20

Pregame first read

NYG run game has the stronger league profile.

NYG run game #8/32 · CAR run defense #30/32 · 137 offense / 177 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
NYG -4.5
Model total
43
80% range (CAR margin)
-20.2 to +14.0

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CAR passing attack#32/32NYG pass defense#16/32
  • CAR run game#19/32NYG run defense#32/32
  • NYG passing attack#28/32CAR pass defense#30/32
  • NYG run game#8/32CAR run defense#30/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NYGNew York Giants

CARCarolina Panthers