AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 10 · Final

New York Jets at Arizona Cardinals, final 6–31

NYJNYJNew York Jets6ARIARIArizona Cardinals31

Pregame first read

ARI run game has the stronger league profile.

ARI run game #10/32 · NYJ run defense #27/32 · 135 offense / 160 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PK
Model total
41.5
80% range (ARI margin)
-16.1 to +18.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • ARI passing attack#17/32NYJ pass defense#12/32
  • ARI run game#10/32NYJ run defense#27/32
  • NYJ passing attack#18/32ARI pass defense#23/32
  • NYJ run game#29/32ARI run defense#16/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NYJNew York Jets

ARIArizona Cardinals