2024 Week 10 · Final
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys, final 34–6
Pregame first read
PHI run game has the stronger league profile.
PHI run game #1/32 · DAL run defense #29/32 · 179 offense / 145 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- PHI -6
- Model total
- 47
- 80% range (DAL margin)
- -22.1 to +12.2
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJalen HurtsPHI202 pass yds
- RushingSaquon BarkleyPHI66 rush yds
- ReceivingA.J. BrownPHI109 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- DAL passing attack#25/32PHI pass defense#8/32
- DAL run game#20/32PHI run defense#17/32
- PHI passing attack#12/32DAL pass defense#29/32
- PHI run game#1/32DAL run defense#29/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles
- Jalen HurtsQB · 8 games222pass yds/g
- Saquon BarkleyRB · 8 games116rush yds/g
- A.J. BrownWR · 5 games88.8rec yds/g
- DeVonta SmithWR · 7 games67.6rec yds/g
DALDallas Cowboys
- Dak PrescottQB · 8 games247pass yds/g
- Rico DowdleRB · 7 games45.9rush yds/g
- CeeDee LambWR · 8 games82.5rec yds/g
- Jake FergusonTE · 7 games47.7rec yds/g