AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 10 · Final

Pittsburgh Steelers at Washington Commanders, final 28–27

PITPITPittsburgh Steelers28WASWASWashington Commanders27

Pregame first read

PIT run game has the stronger league profile.

PIT run game #5/32 · WAS run defense #24/32 · 155 offense / 144 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
WAS -1.5
Model total
44
80% range (WAS margin)
-14.5 to +19.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • WAS passing attack#5/32PIT pass defense#22/32
  • WAS run game#4/32PIT run defense#5/32
  • PIT passing attack#16/32WAS pass defense#2/32
  • PIT run game#5/32WAS run defense#24/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PITPittsburgh Steelers

WASWashington Commanders