AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 11 · Final

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers, final 16–18

BALBALBaltimore Ravens16PITPITPittsburgh Steelers18

Pregame first read

PIT passing attack has the stronger league profile.

PIT passing attack #14/32 · BAL pass defense #30/32 · 152 offense / 230 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BAL -1
Model total
50.5
80% range (PIT margin)
-18.2 to +17.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PIT passing attack#14/32BAL pass defense#30/32
  • PIT run game#8/32BAL run defense#5/32
  • BAL passing attack#1/32PIT pass defense#12/32
  • BAL run game#15/32PIT run defense#9/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

BALBaltimore Ravens

PITPittsburgh Steelers