AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 11 · Final

Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints, final 14–35

CLECLECleveland Browns14NONONew Orleans Saints35

Pregame first read

NO pass defense has the stronger league profile.

CLE passing attack #26/32 · NO pass defense #17/32 · 217 offense / 168 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CLE -2
Model total
41.5
80% range (NO margin)
-19.3 to +16.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • NO passing attack#31/32CLE pass defense#26/32
  • NO run game#19/32CLE run defense#16/32
  • CLE passing attack#26/32NO pass defense#17/32
  • CLE run game#25/32NO run defense#31/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CLECleveland Browns

NONew Orleans Saints