AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 11 · Final

Jacksonville Jaguars at Detroit Lions, final 6–52

JAXJAXJacksonville Jaguars6DETDETDetroit Lions52

Pregame first read

DET passing attack has the stronger league profile.

DET passing attack #2/32 · JAX pass defense #31/32 · 135 offense / 167 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DET -10
Model total
50.5
80% range (DET margin)
-7.2 to +28.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DET passing attack#2/32JAX pass defense#31/32
  • DET run game#13/32JAX run defense#18/32
  • JAX passing attack#19/32DET pass defense#2/32
  • JAX run game#23/32DET run defense#11/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

JAXJacksonville Jaguars

DETDetroit Lions