AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 11 · Final

Las Vegas Raiders at Miami Dolphins, final 19–34

LVLVLas Vegas Raiders19MIAMIAMiami Dolphins34

Pregame first read

MIA run defense has the stronger league profile.

LV run game #31/32 · MIA run defense #8/32 · 115 offense / 118 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
MIA -1
Model total
43.5
80% range (MIA margin)
-16.5 to +19.0

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • MIA passing attack#10/32LV pass defense#24/32
  • MIA run game#26/32LV run defense#17/32
  • LV passing attack#28/32MIA pass defense#18/32
  • LV run game#31/32MIA run defense#8/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LVLas Vegas Raiders

MIAMiami Dolphins