AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 11 · Final

Minnesota Vikings at Tennessee Titans, final 23–13

MINMINMinnesota Vikings23TENTENTennessee Titans13

Pregame first read

MIN run defense has the stronger league profile.

TEN run game #24/32 · MIN run defense #1/32 · 144 offense / 104 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
MIN -7.5
Model total
44
80% range (TEN margin)
-24.7 to +10.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • TEN passing attack#24/32MIN pass defense#11/32
  • TEN run game#24/32MIN run defense#1/32
  • MIN passing attack#21/32TEN pass defense#21/32
  • MIN run game#22/32TEN run defense#21/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

MINMinnesota Vikings

TENTennessee Titans