2024 Week 11 · Final
Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers, final 20–17
Pregame first read
SF passing attack has the stronger league profile.
SF passing attack #7/32 · SEA pass defense #27/32 · 164 offense / 183 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- SF -2
- Model total
- 48
- 80% range (SF margin)
- -15.1 to +20.4
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingGeno SmithSEA221 pass yds
- RushingChristian McCaffreySF79 rush yds
- ReceivingJaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA110 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- SF passing attack#7/32SEA pass defense#27/32
- SF run game#5/32SEA run defense#23/32
- SEA passing attack#18/32SF pass defense#10/32
- SEA run game#32/32SF run defense#26/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
SEASeattle Seahawks
- Geno SmithQB · 9 games284pass yds/g
- Kenneth Walker IIIRB · 7 games56.9rush yds/g
- DK MetcalfWR · 7 games81.1rec yds/g
- Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · 9 games63.1rec yds/g
SFSan Francisco 49ers
- Brock PurdyQB · 9 games273pass yds/g
- Jordan MasonRB · 9 games76.7rush yds/g
- Jauan JenningsWR · 7 games71rec yds/g
- George KittleTE · 8 games70rec yds/g