AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 11 · Final

Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles, final 18–26

WASWASWashington Commanders18PHIPHIPhiladelphia Eagles26

Pregame first read

PHI run game has the stronger league profile.

PHI run game #4/32 · WAS run defense #19/32 · 197 offense / 161 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
WAS -1.5
Model total
46.5
80% range (PHI margin)
-18.6 to +16.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PHI passing attack#9/32WAS pass defense#7/32
  • PHI run game#4/32WAS run defense#19/32
  • WAS passing attack#5/32PHI pass defense#1/32
  • WAS run game#7/32PHI run defense#3/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

WASWashington Commanders

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles