AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 12 · Final

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders, final 34–26

DALDALDallas Cowboys34WASWASWashington Commanders26

Pregame first read

WAS pass defense has the stronger league profile.

DAL passing attack #32/32 · WAS pass defense #3/32 · 234 offense / 140 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
WAS -10.5
Model total
47
80% range (WAS margin)
-5.9 to +29.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • WAS passing attack#14/32DAL pass defense#29/32
  • WAS run game#8/32DAL run defense#31/32
  • DAL passing attack#32/32WAS pass defense#3/32
  • DAL run game#30/32WAS run defense#27/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DALDallas Cowboys

WASWashington Commanders