AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 12 · Final

Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders, final 29–19

DENDENDenver Broncos29LVLVLas Vegas Raiders19

Pregame first read

DEN run defense has the stronger league profile.

LV run game #32/32 · DEN run defense #9/32 · 106 offense / 113 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DEN -8.5
Model total
44.5
80% range (LV margin)
-25.0 to +10.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • LV passing attack#27/32DEN pass defense#7/32
  • LV run game#32/32DEN run defense#9/32
  • DEN passing attack#8/32LV pass defense#28/32
  • DEN run game#16/32LV run defense#15/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DENDenver Broncos

LVLas Vegas Raiders