AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 12 · Final

Detroit Lions at Indianapolis Colts, final 24–6

DETDETDetroit Lions24INDINDIndianapolis Colts6

Pregame first read

DET pass defense has the stronger league profile.

IND passing attack #29/32 · DET pass defense #2/32 · 162 offense / 178 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DET -10.5
Model total
50
80% range (IND margin)
-27.1 to +8.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • IND passing attack#29/32DET pass defense#2/32
  • IND run game#27/32DET run defense#10/32
  • DET passing attack#2/32IND pass defense#9/32
  • DET run game#15/32IND run defense#7/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DETDetroit Lions

INDIndianapolis Colts