AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 12 · Final

Kansas City Chiefs at Carolina Panthers, final 30–27

KCKCKansas City Chiefs30CARCARCarolina Panthers27

Pregame first read

KC run game has the stronger league profile.

KC run game #9/32 · CAR run defense #30/32 · 134 offense / 174 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
KC -8
Model total
45.5
80% range (CAR margin)
-24.3 to +10.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CAR passing attack#30/32KC pass defense#24/32
  • CAR run game#14/32KC run defense#11/32
  • KC passing attack#10/32CAR pass defense#18/32
  • KC run game#9/32CAR run defense#30/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

KCKansas City Chiefs

CARCarolina Panthers