AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 12 · Final

Philadelphia Eagles at Los Angeles Rams, final 37–20

Pregame first read

PHI run defense has the stronger league profile.

LA run game #29/32 · PHI run defense #2/32 · 118 offense / 106 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PHI -4
Model total
43
80% range (LA margin)
-20.6 to +14.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • LA passing attack#13/32PHI pass defense#1/32
  • LA run game#29/32PHI run defense#2/32
  • PHI passing attack#15/32LA pass defense#8/32
  • PHI run game#1/32LA run defense#4/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles

LALos Angeles Rams