AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 12 · Final

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns, final 19–24

PITPITPittsburgh Steelers19CLECLECleveland Browns24

Pregame first read

PIT pass defense has the stronger league profile.

CLE passing attack #22/32 · PIT pass defense #5/32 · 232 offense / 199 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PIT -8
Model total
42.5
80% range (CLE margin)
-25.1 to +10.5

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CLE passing attack#22/32PIT pass defense#5/32
  • CLE run game#24/32PIT run defense#12/32
  • PIT passing attack#19/32CLE pass defense#26/32
  • PIT run game#18/32CLE run defense#25/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PITPittsburgh Steelers

CLECleveland Browns