San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers, final 10–38

Pregame first read

SF run game has the stronger league profile.

SF run game #2/32 · GB run defense #24/32 · 140 offense / 142 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread

GB -1

Model total

47

80% range (GB margin)

-15.6 to +19.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.