AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 12 · Final

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Giants, final 30–7

TBTBTampa Bay Buccaneers30NYGNYGNew York Giants7

Pregame first read

TB run game has the stronger league profile.

TB run game #6/32 · NYG run defense #32/32 · 131 offense / 159 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
TB -2
Model total
47.5
80% range (NYG margin)
-18.6 to +16.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • NYG passing attack#31/32TB pass defense#31/32
  • NYG run game#4/32TB run defense#14/32
  • TB passing attack#9/32NYG pass defense#12/32
  • TB run game#6/32NYG run defense#32/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers

NYGNew York Giants