AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 13 · Final

Arizona Cardinals at Minnesota Vikings, final 22–23

ARIARIArizona Cardinals22MINMINMinnesota Vikings23

Pregame first read

ARI run defense has the stronger league profile.

MIN run game #25/32 · ARI run defense #12/32 · 152 offense / 109 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
MIN -2
Model total
43
80% range (MIN margin)
-15.3 to +20.5

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • MIN passing attack#12/32ARI pass defense#8/32
  • MIN run game#25/32ARI run defense#12/32
  • ARI passing attack#10/32MIN pass defense#12/32
  • ARI run game#12/32MIN run defense#2/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

ARIArizona Cardinals

MINMinnesota Vikings