AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 13 · Final

Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions, final 20–23

CHICHIChicago Bears20DETDETDetroit Lions23

Pregame first read

DET pass defense has the stronger league profile.

CHI passing attack #30/32 · DET pass defense #1/32 · 201 offense / 174 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DET -10
Model total
47.5
80% range (DET margin)
-7.5 to +28.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DET passing attack#3/32CHI pass defense#27/32
  • DET run game#8/32CHI run defense#18/32
  • CHI passing attack#30/32DET pass defense#1/32
  • CHI run game#11/32DET run defense#4/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CHIChicago Bears

DETDetroit Lions