AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 13 · Final

Cleveland Browns at Denver Broncos, final 32–41

CLECLECleveland Browns32DENDENDenver Broncos41

Pregame first read

DEN passing attack has the stronger league profile.

DEN passing attack #5/32 · CLE pass defense #24/32 · 188 offense / 164 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DEN -7.5
Model total
43
80% range (DEN margin)
-7.0 to +25.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DEN passing attack#5/32CLE pass defense#24/32
  • DEN run game#24/32CLE run defense#14/32
  • CLE passing attack#26/32DEN pass defense#12/32
  • CLE run game#18/32DEN run defense#6/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CLECleveland Browns

DENDenver Broncos