AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 13 · Final

Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints, final 21–14

Pregame first read

LA passing attack has the stronger league profile.

LA passing attack #8/32 · NO pass defense #18/32 · 196 offense / 181 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
LA -3
Model total
46
80% range (NO margin)
-20.3 to +15.5

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • NO passing attack#27/32LA pass defense#24/32
  • NO run game#4/32LA run defense#13/32
  • LA passing attack#8/32NO pass defense#18/32
  • LA run game#28/32NO run defense#24/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LALos Angeles Rams

NONew Orleans Saints