2024 Week 13 · Final
Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints, final 21–14
Pregame first read
LA passing attack has the stronger league profile.
LA passing attack #8/32 · NO pass defense #18/32 · 196 offense / 181 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- LA -3
- Model total
- 46
- 80% range (NO margin)
- -20.3 to +15.5
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingDerek CarrNO184 pass yds
- RushingAlvin KamaraNO112 rush yds
- ReceivingPuka NacuaLA56 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NO passing attack#27/32LA pass defense#24/32
- NO run game#4/32LA run defense#13/32
- LA passing attack#8/32NO pass defense#18/32
- LA run game#28/32NO run defense#24/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
LALos Angeles Rams
- Matthew StaffordQB · 11 games255pass yds/g
- Kyren WilliamsRB · 11 games74.7rush yds/g
- Puka NacuaWR · 6 games81.7rec yds/g
- Cooper KuppWR · 7 games78.3rec yds/g
NONew Orleans Saints
- Derek CarrQB · 8 games218pass yds/g
- Alvin KamaraRB · 11 games71.1rush yds/g
- Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWR · 3 games67rec yds/g
- Rashid ShaheedWR · 6 games58.2rec yds/g