AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 13 · Final

Los Angeles Chargers at Atlanta Falcons, final 17–13

LACLACLos Angeles Chargers17ATLATLAtlanta Falcons13

Pregame first read

LAC passing attack has the stronger league profile.

LAC passing attack #14/32 · ATL pass defense #29/32 · 163 offense / 191 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
LAC -4
Model total
46
80% range (ATL margin)
-21.1 to +14.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • ATL passing attack#16/32LAC pass defense#6/32
  • ATL run game#16/32LAC run defense#30/32
  • LAC passing attack#14/32ATL pass defense#29/32
  • LAC run game#13/32ATL run defense#14/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LACLos Angeles Chargers

ATLAtlanta Falcons