2024 Week 13 · Final
Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs, final 17–19
Pregame first read
KC passing attack has the stronger league profile.
KC passing attack #6/32 · LV pass defense #30/32 · 209 offense / 182 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- KC -8
- Model total
- 46
- 80% range (KC margin)
- -9.6 to +26.3
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingAidan O'ConnellLV340 pass yds
- RushingSincere McCormickLV64 rush yds
- ReceivingBrock BowersLV140 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- KC passing attack#6/32LV pass defense#30/32
- KC run game#8/32LV run defense#7/32
- LV passing attack#30/32KC pass defense#28/32
- LV run game#29/32KC run defense#16/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
LVLas Vegas Raiders
- Gardner MinshewQB · 10 games201pass yds/g
- Alexander MattisonRB · 10 games32rush yds/g
- Davante AdamsWR · 3 games69.7rec yds/g
- Brock BowersTE · 11 games67.6rec yds/g
KCKansas City Chiefs
- Patrick MahomesQB · 11 games243pass yds/g
- Kareem HuntRB · 8 games72.1rush yds/g
- Rashee RiceWR · 3 games96rec yds/g
- Travis KelceTE · 11 games51.7rec yds/g