AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 13 · Final

Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers, final 17–30

MIAMIAMiami Dolphins17GBGBGreen Bay Packers30

Pregame first read

GB passing attack has the stronger league profile.

GB passing attack #11/32 · MIA pass defense #18/32 · 147 offense / 214 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
GB -2
Model total
45.5
80% range (GB margin)
-15.6 to +20.5

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • GB passing attack#11/32MIA pass defense#18/32
  • GB run game#15/32MIA run defense#10/32
  • MIA passing attack#1/32GB pass defense#5/32
  • MIA run game#27/32GB run defense#27/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

MIAMiami Dolphins

GBGreen Bay Packers