AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 13 · Final

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys, final 20–27

NYGNYGNew York Giants20DALDALDallas Cowboys27

Pregame first read

NYG run game has the stronger league profile.

NYG run game #10/32 · DAL run defense #31/32 · 126 offense / 150 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
NYG -1
Model total
42.5
80% range (DAL margin)
-18.5 to +17.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DAL passing attack#31/32NYG pass defense#26/32
  • DAL run game#31/32NYG run defense#32/32
  • NYG passing attack#32/32DAL pass defense#16/32
  • NYG run game#10/32DAL run defense#31/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NYGNew York Giants

DALDallas Cowboys