AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 13 · Final

Philadelphia Eagles at Baltimore Ravens, final 24–19

PHIPHIPhiladelphia Eagles24BALBALBaltimore Ravens19

Pregame first read

PHI run game has the stronger league profile.

PHI run game #1/32 · BAL run defense #7/32 · 203 offense / 120 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PHI -2.5
Model total
51.5
80% range (BAL margin)
-19.7 to +16.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • BAL passing attack#2/32PHI pass defense#1/32
  • BAL run game#5/32PHI run defense#1/32
  • PHI passing attack#9/32BAL pass defense#11/32
  • PHI run game#1/32BAL run defense#7/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles

BALBaltimore Ravens