AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 13 · Final

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals, final 44–38

PITPITPittsburgh Steelers44CINCINCincinnati Bengals38

Pregame first read

PIT pass defense has the stronger league profile.

CIN passing attack #13/32 · PIT pass defense #4/32 · 219 offense / 187 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PIT -2
Model total
50.5
80% range (CIN margin)
-19.0 to +16.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CIN passing attack#13/32PIT pass defense#4/32
  • CIN run game#26/32PIT run defense#29/32
  • PIT passing attack#15/32CIN pass defense#20/32
  • PIT run game#23/32CIN run defense#18/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PITPittsburgh Steelers

CINCincinnati Bengals