2024 Week 13 · Final
Seattle Seahawks at New York Jets, final 26–21
Pregame first read
SEA passing attack has the stronger league profile.
SEA passing attack #17/32 · NYJ pass defense #26/32 · 173 offense / 160 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- SEA -1.5
- Model total
- 44
- 80% range (NYJ margin)
- -18.9 to +16.9
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingGeno SmithSEA206 pass yds
- RushingBreece HallNYJ60 rush yds
- ReceivingJaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA74 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NYJ passing attack#18/32SEA pass defense#13/32
- NYJ run game#20/32SEA run defense#25/32
- SEA passing attack#17/32NYJ pass defense#26/32
- SEA run game#31/32NYJ run defense#27/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
SEASeattle Seahawks
- Geno SmithQB · 11 games276pass yds/g
- Kenneth Walker IIIRB · 9 games54.8rush yds/g
- DK MetcalfWR · 9 games77.4rec yds/g
- Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · 11 games68.6rec yds/g
NYJNew York Jets
- Aaron RodgersQB · 11 games222pass yds/g
- Breece HallRB · 11 games57.5rush yds/g
- Garrett WilsonWR · 11 games65.6rec yds/g
- Allen LazardWR · 7 games58.9rec yds/g