AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 13 · Final

San Francisco 49ers at Buffalo Bills, final 10–35

SFSFSan Francisco 49ers10BUFBUFBuffalo Bills35

Pregame first read

BUF run game has the stronger league profile.

BUF run game #2/32 · SF run defense #26/32 · 129 offense / 147 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BUF -3
Model total
47
80% range (BUF margin)
-14.4 to +21.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • BUF passing attack#7/32SF pass defense#10/32
  • BUF run game#2/32SF run defense#26/32
  • SF passing attack#20/32BUF pass defense#17/32
  • SF run game#6/32BUF run defense#3/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

SFSan Francisco 49ers

BUFBuffalo Bills