AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 13 · Final

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers, final 26–23

TBTBTampa Bay Buccaneers26CARCARCarolina Panthers23

Pregame first read

TB passing attack has the stronger league profile.

TB passing attack #5/32 · CAR pass defense #21/32 · 193 offense / 181 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
TB -8.5
Model total
53
80% range (CAR margin)
-25.7 to +10.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CAR passing attack#30/32TB pass defense#32/32
  • CAR run game#8/32TB run defense#11/32
  • TB passing attack#5/32CAR pass defense#21/32
  • TB run game#18/32CAR run defense#31/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers

CARCarolina Panthers