AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 14 · Final

Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams, final 42–44

BUFBUFBuffalo Bills42LALALos Angeles Rams44

Pregame first read

BUF run defense has the stronger league profile.

LA run game #22/32 · BUF run defense #4/32 · 108 offense / 112 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BUF -5.5
Model total
45.5
80% range (LA margin)
-19.6 to +12.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • LA passing attack#12/32BUF pass defense#14/32
  • LA run game#22/32BUF run defense#4/32
  • BUF passing attack#6/32LA pass defense#17/32
  • BUF run game#1/32LA run defense#13/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

BUFBuffalo Bills

LALos Angeles Rams