AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 14 · Final

Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles, final 16–22

CARCARCarolina Panthers16PHIPHIPhiladelphia Eagles22

Pregame first read

PHI run game has the stronger league profile.

PHI run game #2/32 · CAR run defense #31/32 · 195 offense / 168 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PHI -13
Model total
46
80% range (PHI margin)
-1.3 to +31.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PHI passing attack#15/32CAR pass defense#9/32
  • PHI run game#2/32CAR run defense#31/32
  • CAR passing attack#21/32PHI pass defense#1/32
  • CAR run game#10/32PHI run defense#1/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CARCarolina Panthers

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles