AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 14 · Final

Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers, final 13–38

CHICHIChicago Bears13SFSFSan Francisco 49ers38

Pregame first read

CHI run game has the stronger league profile.

CHI run game #8/32 · SF run defense #28/32 · 113 offense / 145 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CHI -3
Model total
44.5
80% range (SF margin)
-16.9 to +15.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • SF passing attack#18/32CHI pass defense#24/32
  • SF run game#12/32CHI run defense#17/32
  • CHI passing attack#30/32SF pass defense#21/32
  • CHI run game#8/32SF run defense#28/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CHIChicago Bears

SFSan Francisco 49ers