AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 14 · Final

Cincinnati Bengals at Dallas Cowboys, final 27–20

CINCINCincinnati Bengals27DALDALDallas Cowboys20

Pregame first read

CIN run game has the stronger league profile.

CIN run game #20/32 · DAL run defense #31/32 · 104 offense / 136 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CIN -5
Model total
53.5
80% range (DAL margin)
-18.7 to +13.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DAL passing attack#31/32CIN pass defense#31/32
  • DAL run game#31/32CIN run defense#23/32
  • CIN passing attack#10/32DAL pass defense#2/32
  • CIN run game#20/32DAL run defense#31/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CINCincinnati Bengals

DALDallas Cowboys