AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 14 · Final

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers, final 14–27

CLECLECleveland Browns14PITPITPittsburgh Steelers27

Pregame first read

PIT pass defense has the stronger league profile.

CLE passing attack #25/32 · PIT pass defense #3/32 · 239 offense / 188 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PIT -7.5
Model total
48
80% range (PIT margin)
-6.6 to +25.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PIT passing attack#11/32CLE pass defense#26/32
  • PIT run game#26/32CLE run defense#22/32
  • CLE passing attack#25/32PIT pass defense#3/32
  • CLE run game#19/32PIT run defense#30/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CLECleveland Browns

PITPittsburgh Steelers