AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 14 · Final

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions, final 31–34

GBGBGreen Bay Packers31DETDETDetroit Lions34

Pregame first read

DET passing attack has the stronger league profile.

DET passing attack #2/32 · GB pass defense #19/32 · 161 offense / 175 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DET -6
Model total
48
80% range (DET margin)
-8.2 to +24.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DET passing attack#2/32GB pass defense#19/32
  • DET run game#9/32GB run defense#16/32
  • GB passing attack#4/32DET pass defense#2/32
  • GB run game#15/32DET run defense#5/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

GBGreen Bay Packers

DETDetroit Lions