AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 14 · Final

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans, final 10–6

JAXJAXJacksonville Jaguars10TENTENTennessee Titans6

Pregame first read

TEN passing attack has the stronger league profile.

TEN passing attack #14/32 · JAX pass defense #32/32 · 173 offense / 164 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
JAX -2.5
Model total
49
80% range (TEN margin)
-16.4 to +16.0

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • TEN passing attack#14/32JAX pass defense#32/32
  • TEN run game#27/32JAX run defense#24/32
  • JAX passing attack#27/32TEN pass defense#18/32
  • JAX run game#28/32TEN run defense#21/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

JAXJacksonville Jaguars

TENTennessee Titans