AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 14 · Final

Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs, final 17–19

LACLACLos Angeles Chargers17KCKCKansas City Chiefs19

Pregame first read

KC run game has the stronger league profile.

KC run game #13/32 · LAC run defense #29/32 · 112 offense / 142 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
LAC -1.5
Model total
43
80% range (KC margin)
-15.3 to +17.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • KC passing attack#7/32LAC pass defense#5/32
  • KC run game#13/32LAC run defense#29/32
  • LAC passing attack#17/32KC pass defense#28/32
  • LAC run game#16/32KC run defense#20/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LACLos Angeles Chargers

KCKansas City Chiefs