AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 14 · Final

Las Vegas Raiders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, final 13–28

LVLVLas Vegas Raiders13TBTBTampa Bay Buccaneers28

Pregame first read

TB run defense has the stronger league profile.

LV run game #29/32 · TB run defense #8/32 · 99 offense / 125 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
TB -7
Model total
52.5
80% range (TB margin)
-7.1 to +25.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • TB passing attack#9/32LV pass defense#30/32
  • TB run game#11/32LV run defense#7/32
  • LV passing attack#22/32TB pass defense#29/32
  • LV run game#29/32TB run defense#8/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LVLas Vegas Raiders

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers