AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 14 · Final

New Orleans Saints at New York Giants, final 14–11

NONONew Orleans Saints14NYGNYGNew York Giants11

Pregame first read

NO run game has the stronger league profile.

NO run game #6/32 · NYG run defense #26/32 · 145 offense / 159 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
NO -0.5
Model total
42.5
80% range (NYG margin)
-14.7 to +17.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • NYG passing attack#32/32NO pass defense#16/32
  • NYG run game#4/32NO run defense#23/32
  • NO passing attack#20/32NYG pass defense#27/32
  • NO run game#6/32NYG run defense#26/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NONew Orleans Saints

NYGNew York Giants