AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 14 · Final

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins, final 26–32

NYJNYJNew York Jets26MIAMIAMiami Dolphins32

Pregame first read

MIA passing attack has the stronger league profile.

MIA passing attack #1/32 · NYJ pass defense #20/32 · 192 offense / 164 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
MIA -5
Model total
44
80% range (MIA margin)
-9.0 to +23.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • MIA passing attack#1/32NYJ pass defense#20/32
  • MIA run game#31/32NYJ run defense#25/32
  • NYJ passing attack#26/32MIA pass defense#13/32
  • NYJ run game#21/32MIA run defense#9/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NYJNew York Jets

MIAMiami Dolphins