2024 Week 15 · Final
Atlanta Falcons at Las Vegas Raiders, final 15–9
Pregame first read
ATL run defense has the stronger league profile.
LV run game #29/32 · ATL run defense #11/32 · 103 offense / 108 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- ATL -2.5
- Model total
- 47
- 80% range (LV margin)
- -16.6 to +15.7
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingDesmond RidderLV208 pass yds
- RushingBijan RobinsonATL125 rush yds
- ReceivingJakobi MeyersLV59 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- LV passing attack#25/32ATL pass defense#29/32
- LV run game#29/32ATL run defense#11/32
- ATL passing attack#23/32LV pass defense#28/32
- ATL run game#18/32LV run defense#7/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
ATLAtlanta Falcons
- Kirk CousinsQB · 13 games261pass yds/g
- Bijan RobinsonRB · 13 games75.2rush yds/g
- Darnell MooneyWR · 13 games67.2rec yds/g
- Drake LondonWR · 13 games66.6rec yds/g
LVLas Vegas Raiders
- Gardner MinshewQB · 10 games201pass yds/g
- Sincere McCormickRB · 3 games58.3rush yds/g
- Brock BowersTE · 13 games71.8rec yds/g
- Davante AdamsWR · 3 games69.7rec yds/g