2024 Week 15 · Final
Baltimore Ravens at New York Giants, final 35–14
Pregame first read
BAL pass defense has the stronger league profile.
NYG passing attack #32/32 · BAL pass defense #7/32 · 193 offense / 199 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- BAL -8
- Model total
- 45
- 80% range (NYG margin)
- -21.7 to +10.3
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingLamar JacksonBAL290 pass yds
- RushingDerrick HenryBAL67 rush yds
- ReceivingMalik NabersNYG82 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NYG passing attack#32/32BAL pass defense#7/32
- NYG run game#6/32BAL run defense#11/32
- BAL passing attack#3/32NYG pass defense#24/32
- BAL run game#4/32NYG run defense#20/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
BALBaltimore Ravens
- Lamar JacksonQB · 13 games253pass yds/g
- Derrick HenryRB · 13 games108rush yds/g
- Zay FlowersWR · 13 games66.4rec yds/g
- Rashod BatemanWR · 12 games47.8rec yds/g
NYGNew York Giants
- Daniel JonesQB · 10 games207pass yds/g
- Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · 13 games51.1rush yds/g
- Malik NabersWR · 11 games74.5rec yds/g
- Darius SlaytonWR · 12 games42rec yds/g