AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 15 · Final

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings, final 12–30

CHICHIChicago Bears12MINMINMinnesota Vikings30

Pregame first read

MIN passing attack has the stronger league profile.

MIN passing attack #7/32 · CHI pass defense #32/32 · 179 offense / 145 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
MIN -5.5
Model total
43.5
80% range (MIN margin)
-8.7 to +23.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • MIN passing attack#7/32CHI pass defense#32/32
  • MIN run game#24/32CHI run defense#21/32
  • CHI passing attack#29/32MIN pass defense#11/32
  • CHI run game#5/32MIN run defense#12/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CHIChicago Bears

MINMinnesota Vikings