AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 15 · Final

Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers, final 30–14

DALDALDallas Cowboys30CARCARCarolina Panthers14

Pregame first read

CAR pass defense has the stronger league profile.

DAL passing attack #31/32 · CAR pass defense #8/32 · 196 offense / 177 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CAR -1.5
Model total
48
80% range (CAR margin)
-12.3 to +19.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CAR passing attack#15/32DAL pass defense#4/32
  • CAR run game#9/32DAL run defense#31/32
  • DAL passing attack#31/32CAR pass defense#8/32
  • DAL run game#31/32CAR run defense#32/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DALDallas Cowboys

CARCarolina Panthers